Forecasters give it a 70% chance of developing in the next two days and an 80% chance of developing in the next five days. For now, the NHC is calling the area Invest 91L. If the remnants redevelop and wind speeds reach at least 39 mph, it would be the first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season and would be given the name Alex. The American model (GFS) suggests the heaviest rain will stay in south Florida, over the Everglades and Miami. The European model suggests the rain will be heaviest along and south of I-4. The farther north it develops, the farther north the rain will spread. Currently, the forecast models are having a tough time predicting where the center of the disturbance will organize. While it is not forecast to be a well-organized system with strong winds, it could bring heavy rainfall to parts of the state Friday into Saturday.Ģ022 Hurricane Guide: Prepare your family before a stormĬonfidence in the forecast will increase Thursday after the disturbance organizes a little more. The mountainous terrain of Mexico shredded Hurricane Agatha apart but the tropical moisture has moved into the Bay of Campeche, the Caribbean Sea and over the Yucatan Peninsula, and is expected to re-strengthen.įorecast models show a good chance that the showers and storms re-organize into a new tropical system by the end of the week as the moisture continues to move northeast toward Florida and Cuba. The system developed in the Pacific and moved onshore in Mexico as a Category 2 hurricane on Tuesday. The area of possible development being monitored is leftover shower and thunderstorm activity from Hurricane Agatha, a storm in the Pacific. However, the National Hurricane Center is tracking possible development in the southern Gulf of Mexico and says a tropical depression or storm is likely to form by the end of the week.
This year marked the first time in seven years that tropical development did not occur in the Atlantic before June 1. The Atlantic hurricane season begins every year on June 1. (WFLA) - The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season is now officially underway, and there’s already an area of potential development to keep an eye on in the Gulf of Mexico.
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